<img src="https://gyazo.com/7d59127f0242e601bf086abac68d62c0/thumb/1000" alt="image">
<ul>
<li>When you see y increase right after x increases, many people interpret it as &quot;as x increases, y increases&quot;.</li>
<li>But in reality, that often doesn&#39;t happen.</li>
<li>It&#39;s a system where &quot;as x increases, y decreases, but there&#39;s a delay in that change.&quot;</li>
<li>Humans have difficulty recognizing this <a href="/en/delay">delay</a>.</li>
</ul>
<hr>
<ul>
<li>context<ul>
<li>A state of emergency was declared due to the spread of COVID19 infection.<ul>
<li><blockquote>
I strongly urge you to refrain from leaving your homes during the month of April 7 to May 6.
</blockquote>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Number of suicides in April, down about 20% from the previous year<ul>
<li><a href="https://news.tbs.co.jp/newseye/tbs_newseye3977832.html">https://news.tbs.co.jp/newseye/tbs_newseye3977832.html</a></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>From this observation, we observed a case that was interpreted as &quot;if you curb going out, suicide will decrease.&quot;</li>
<li>That interpretation is a leap, an interpretation that overlooks the delay.<ul>
<li><a href="/en/stress%20reaction">stress reaction</a> is a delayed process, so the stress reaction of curtailing the outing has not yet occurred.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
relevance
 - <a href="/en/system%20prototype">system prototype</a>
 - <a href="/en/blind%20spot">blind spot</a>
 - <a href="/en/delay">delay</a>
<hr>
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When you see y increase right after x increases, many people interpret it as "as x increases, y increases".
But in reality, that often doesn't happen.